Allan Lichtman picks his choice as we all know that there are just 60 days left for the final time to recognise the next American President. Already the fight between ex-President Donald Trump and the current Vice President of America Kamala Harrish is going on and they’re doing their best to get the presidential seat again.
ALLAN LICHTMAN THE WELL-KNOWN PREDICTOR OF US PRESIDENTIAL RESULT PICKS HIS CHOICE:
A lot of surveys are going on regarding the results of the upcoming election of the American presidential seat. Some surveys are saying that there is a high chance of Donald Trump winning this year’s election and some others are saying that Kamala Harris has a great chance to be the president of the United States of America for the first time.
But besides all the surface there is someone whose prediction is so important for all of us who are eagerly waiting for the presidential election result of the US. So the person is none other than historian Allan Lichtman.
For your information, this person is a man who has given accurate results in the 9 presidential elections out of 10. Allan Lichtman is a distinguished professor and he also has a PhD degree specializing in modern American history. He is also the author of 13 books and 100 articles that are related to study.
You may also like: LABOR DAY CELEBRATION IN THE USA READ THE HISTORY.
But how Allan Litchman predicts so accurately the result of the election because to be correct in 9 times out of 10 presidential elections is something special. So there may be a question: what is the process of his prediction? In an interview by the New York Times. He has said in a video that every prediction is based on his 13 keys “big picture true-false questions that tap into the strength and performance of the White House Party.”
What are the 13 keys?
The 13 keys are generally based on the topics mentioned below:
- ◾ The White House party gained House seats during the midterm elections.
- ◾ The sitting president is running for reelection.
- ◾ The White House party is avoiding a primary contest.
- ◾ There is a third-party challenger.
- ◾ The short-term economy is strong.
- ◾ The long-term economic growth has been as good as the last two terms.
- ◾ The White House party has made major changes to national policy.
- ◾ There is sustained social unrest during the term.
- ◾ The White House is untainted by scandal, the incumbent party is charismatic.
- ◾ The challenger is uncharismatic.
- ◾ The incumbent is charismatic.
- ◾ The White House party has a major failure in foreign policy.
- ◾ The White House party has foreign policy success.
ACCORDING TO HIS KALAMA HARRIS HAS THE CHANCE:
And according to all the analyses using his 13 keys process, Kamla Harry should be the winner of this year’s presidential election as 8 keys are in favor of Harris, while three are in favor of Trump.
According to Allan Lichtman “Foreign policy is tricky, and these keys could flip,” he also added. “The Biden administration is deeply invested in the war in Gaza, which is a humanitarian disaster with no end in sight. But even if both foreign policy keys flipped false, that would mean that there were only five negative keys, which would not be enough for Donald Trump to regain the White House.”
He has also update if there will be any changes in his decision.